Alternatives to Decline-Curve Models for Unconventional Reservoirs: A Case for Data-Driven Discovery of Natural Laws

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dc.contributor.advisorNikolaou, Michael
dc.contributor.committeeMemberEhlig-Economides, Christine
dc.contributor.committeeMemberThakur, Ganesh C.
dc.creatorThakur, Bharat
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-13T13:00:05Z
dc.date.available2018-03-13T13:00:05Z
dc.date.createdDecember 2017
dc.date.issued2017-12
dc.date.submittedDecember 2017
dc.date.updated2018-03-13T13:00:05Z
dc.description.abstractDecline curve models, such as the Arps decline model and its variants, are fairly inaccurate for unconventional reservoirs. Therefore, usually hybrid models, combining early transient-flow models such as Duong and SEPD with Arps for boundary-dominated flow, are usually employed. However, in unconventional reservoirs with multiphase flow these transitions are gradual. Further, for transition period between transient flow and boundary dominated flow, there is no consensus for what is the appropriate model structure. In this study large database of available field data referring to production from unconventional reservoirs is analyzed using multivariate statistical method, such as principal component analysis (PCA). The analysis suggests that over 90% of variability in the data can be captured with only one or two latent variables. Therefore, an appropriate model structure naturally emerges from the data, thus eliminating the need to separate production into different flow-related regimes with explicit formulas for corresponding decline curves.
dc.description.departmentPetroleum Engineering, Department of
dc.format.digitalOriginborn digital
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10657/2949
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rightsThe author of this work is the copyright owner. UH Libraries and the Texas Digital Library have their permission to store and provide access to this work. Further transmission, reproduction, or presentation of this work is prohibited except with permission of the author(s).
dc.subjectData-driven modeling
dc.subjectDecline curve analysis
dc.subjectPrincipal component analysis
dc.subjectUnconventional reservoirs
dc.titleAlternatives to Decline-Curve Models for Unconventional Reservoirs: A Case for Data-Driven Discovery of Natural Laws
dc.type.dcmiText
dc.type.genreThesis
local.embargo.lift2019-12-01
local.embargo.terms2019-12-01
thesis.degree.collegeCullen College of Engineering
thesis.degree.departmentPetroleum Engineering, Department of
thesis.degree.disciplinePetroleum Engineering
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Houston
thesis.degree.levelMasters
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science

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