The Effects of Credits Default Swaps on Analyst Forecasting

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dc.contributor.advisorLobo, Gerald J.
dc.contributor.committeeMemberKilic, Emre
dc.contributor.committeeMemberCrawford, Steven S.
dc.contributor.committeeMemberNeel, Michael J.
dc.contributor.committeeMemberLangberg, Nisan
dc.creatorEkici, Emrah
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-02T21:33:03Z
dc.date.available2018-03-02T21:33:03Z
dc.date.createdAugust 2017
dc.date.issued2017-08
dc.date.submittedAugust 2017
dc.date.updated2018-03-02T21:33:03Z
dc.description.abstractThis research studies the effect of development of the CDS market; one of the most important financial innovations in recent times, on financial analysts’ forecast characteristics. I examine whether and how the revelation of private information in the CDS market, which often leads public information disclosure and price discovery in other markets, affects analysts’ forecast characteristics. This research shows that analysts have more accurate and less dispersed cash flow forecasts for firms with CDS contracts. These findings are consistent with the predictions that financial analysts include the information revealed from the CDS market in their cash flow forecasts. Next, I investigate the relation between CDS prices, CDS price changes and analysts’ forecast properties and find that CDS price and CDS price changes are negatively (positively) associated with analysts’ cash flow forecast accuracy (dispersion). The results show that CDS prices and price changes result in more disagreements among financial analysts.
dc.description.departmentAccountancy and Taxation, Department of
dc.format.digitalOriginborn digital
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10657/2780
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rightsThe author of this work is the copyright owner. UH Libraries and the Texas Digital Library have their permission to store and provide access to this work. Further transmission, reproduction, or presentation of this work is prohibited except with permission of the author(s).
dc.subjectCredit default swap
dc.subjectAccuracy
dc.subjectDispersion
dc.titleThe Effects of Credits Default Swaps on Analyst Forecasting
dc.type.dcmiText
dc.type.genreThesis
thesis.degree.collegeC. T. Bauer College of Business
thesis.degree.departmentAccountancy and Taxation, Department of
thesis.degree.disciplineBusiness Administration
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Houston
thesis.degree.levelDoctoral
thesis.degree.nameDoctor of Philosophy

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