Prodan-Boul, Ruxandra2012-04-192012-04-192012-04-192012-04-19August 2012011-08http://hdl.handle.net/10657/246Research has shown that a decline in residential investments signals an impending decline in economic activity. Sources of demand for both residential and commercial real estate sectors are similar and this should move the markets in the same direction over the long-run. Since the residential market has already collapsed, the study of real estate investments is important. This paper utilizes real estate and macroeconomic data to forecast investment loans. Cointegration methods are used for the forecast because the data displays a tendency to move together. The results show that the forecast is inconsistent with the positive relationship between both real estate markets; the residential market will continue to decline, whereas the commercial market with see a positive growth from 2011-2012.application/pdfengThe author of this work is the copyright owner. UH Libraries and the Texas Digital Library have their permission to store and provide access to this work. Further transmission, reproduction, or presentation of this work is prohibited except with permission of the author(s).CointegrationReal EstateForecastingApplied economics2012-04-19Thesisborn digital